New Features In Our AP Poll & Computer Ratings Tracker

Grimes to the hole / Photo by Mario Puente


 
After a week off the court due to COVID-19 positives and contact tracing, the Houston Cougars should remain relatively steady in the AP Poll this week. There’s a reasonable chance the Cougars jump to #6 but could they slide down? Will be interesting to see how voters treat a ‘quaranteam.’

Update: The Cougars moved up one spot to #6 in the AP Poll.

This week, we add several new features: we take a look at some specific computer calculations and we look at how every AP voter has filled out their ballot each week of the regular season. We are still tracking early ballots, too.

One of my favorite sites to get basketball info is BartTorvik.com. Torvik sorts and splices the data in interesting ways. Below is his TourneyCast, which is based on 10,000 simulations. As of today, Bart has UH as a three-seed in the tournament with a 49.4% chance to make it to the Sweet 16 and a 15% chance to make it to the Final Four.

According to the simulator, only six teams have a better shot at the Sweet 16 and just 4 have a better chance at winning the national title. Obviously, there’s very little data so far this season but it’s a fun pick-me-up on a Monday morning.

T-Rank TourneyCast from BartTorvik.com – click the image for a better view


 
Here are the AP ballots from the last three weeks. This table works best in landscape view on a device.
 
PollsterOrganization12/1412/711/30
Bob BallouCBS Austin7612
Chris BasnettLincoln JS645
Mark BermanRoanoke Times888
Sam BlumDallas News444
David BorgesConnecticut Insider8823
Rick BozichWDRB (KY)789
Jeff BorzelloESPN (NYC)447
Kevin BrockwayGainesville Sun (FL)6910
Lauren BrownlowWRAL (NC)439
Joe BuettnerNorman Transcript658
Jeff CallDeseret News (UT)7913
Jerry CarinoGannett (NJ)71111
David CloningerThe State (SC)6811
Clayton CollierWATN (TN)71111
James CrepeaOregonian8910
Seth DavisThe Athletic (NYC)181718
Luke DeCockNews & Observer (VA)9910
Donna DitotaSyracuse P-S999
Doug DoughtyRoanoke Times6517
Jack EblingWSYM (MI)8NV13
Wayne EppsRichmond T-D (VA)6713
Marcus FullerSt. Paul PP (MN)81414
Geoff GrammerABQ Journal (NM)668
Adam GrosbardOrange County Register688
Jordan HansenMissoulian (MT)557
Steve HewittBoston Herald91213
Brian HollandWVLA Baton Rouge677
Bob HoltArkansas D-G91313
Donald HuntPhilly Tribune4418
Cecil HurtTuscaloosa News9910
David JablonskiDayton News8717
Justin JacksonMorgantown DP6915
Ethan JoyceW-S Journal (NC)5511
Joe JulianoPhilly Inquirer71012
Lauren KirschmanNews Tribune (WA)101113
Paul KleeDenver Gazette6NV6
Zach KleinWSB (Atlanta)678
Chad LeistikowDM Register (IA)6510
Dave MatterSt. Louis P-D7711
Kevin McNamaraProvidence Journal101313
Stephen MeansCleveland.com101015
Craig MeyerPittsburgh P-G569
Sheldon MicklesBR Advocate (LA)71114
Chris MurrayNevada Sports Net7610
Matt MurschelOrlando Sentinel6716
Jesse NewellKC Star7610
Bruce PascoeArizona D-S998
Dave PrestonWTOP Radio (DC)912
Troy Provost-HeronKnoxville DT788
Jeff Rabjohns247 Sports (IN)669
BJ RainsIdaho P-T688
Scott RicheyNews Gazette (IL)447
Jon RothsteinCBS Sports (NYC)6713
Shannon RyanChicago Tribune81112
Ben SteeleMilwaukee JS669
Nick SussClarion Ledger (MS)8711
Edgar ThompsonOrlando Sentinel977
Dick VitaleESPN (FL)8912
Josh VitaleMont Advertiser (AL)91011
Ken Weinman105.7 The Fan (MD)6915
John WernerWaco T-H6713
Scott WolfLA Daily News91111
Jon WilnerSan Jose MN141312
Point Total:1090949
Final Ranking:710

Most major computer rankings have the Coogs in the top 10 in the country:

Ranking System12/1412/711/30
KenPom:101010
T-Rank:8107
ESPN BPI:111312
Sagarin:434
Massey:433
Massey Composite:536